Knockout Tracker
Everyone's bracket is different, so this follows the teams instead: who actually advanced, and the share of the 117 entries that predicted it. Each bar is that %.
Reached the Final
Teams through, and the % of the pool that called it — worth 24 pts each.
Spain
61%
Argentina
31%
Reached Semi-finals
Teams through, and the % of the pool that called it — worth 16 pts each.
Spain
88%
France
70%
Argentina
58%
England
30%
Reached Quarter-finals
Teams through, and the % of the pool that called it — worth 10 pts each.
Argentina
94%
Spain
91%
France
79%
England
77%
Belgium
64%
Morocco
18%
Norway
9%
Switzerland
5%
Reached Round of 16
Teams through, and the % of the pool that called it — worth 6 pts each.
France
99%
Portugal
97%
Argentina
95%
Spain
95%
Belgium
94%
England
92%
Mexico
92%
Brazil
91%
Switzerland
73%
USA
66%
Norway
58%
Colombia
50%
Canada
33%
Morocco
22%
Egypt
17%
Paraguay
12%
Surprises & busts
Where the pool read the group stage most wrong.
Surprise qualifiers
Made the knockouts — but few saw it coming.
Cabo Verde
8%
South Africa
15%
DR Congo
17%
Paraguay
33%
Ghana
46%
Biggest busts
Heavily backed to qualify — went home in the groups.
Uruguay
100%
Scotland
88%
Korea Republic
87%
Türkiye
83%
Iran
79%
Czechia
70%
Saudi Arabia
42%
Uzbekistan
16%
Qatar
15%
Iraq
10%
Every qualifier
All 32 teams that reached the knockouts, most-backed first.
Argentina
100%
Belgium
100%
Brazil
100%
England
100%
France
100%
Germany
100%
Mexico
100%
Netherlands
100%
Spain
100%
Portugal
99%
Switzerland
99%
Colombia
98%
Croatia
97%
Morocco
96%
Japan
95%
Ecuador
93%
Norway
91%
Austria
90%
Canada
89%
USA
89%
Egypt
85%
Sweden
77%
Senegal
75%
Australia
74%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
73%
Cote D'Voire
72%
Algeria
60%
Ghana
46%
Paraguay
33%
DR Congo
17%
South Africa
15%
Cabo Verde
8%